Chapter 10  Overview of Transport Economy in Fiscal 1988


1 Trends in Transport


(Domestic Passenger Transport)

   Domestic passenger transport volume in fiscal 1988 (on a passenger-kilometer basis) registered a substantial increase of 7.3 percent over the previous fiscal year. Passenger transport in fiscal 1988 was characterized by a continued sharp increase in the number of railway passengers, the excellent performance of JR companies following the privatization of the Japanese National Railways, a sharp rise in the use of privately-owned cars for transport, and some measure of deceleration in the growth of air transport. Again, it must be noted that transport systems were partly affected, albeit temporarily, by the demise of Emperor Showa.
   Increased consumption and a rise in domestic demand can be thought to be the endorsement of the favorable passenger transport situation (Table 15).

 


(Domestic Cargo Transport)

   Domestic cargo transport volume in fiscal 1988 (on a ton-kilometer basis) was up 7.6 percent from the previous fiscal year, surpassing the growth rate (5.3 percent) of GNP in real terms. A sharp increase in cargo transport volume of each transport sector was a characteristic of cargo transport in fiscal 1988. In particular, the volume of railway cargo transport (in terms of tonnage) increased for the first time in nine years, by reversing the long-protracted downward trend since the second oil shock, thanks in part to the opening of the Seikan Tunnel and the Seto-Ohashi Bridge. The share of cargo transport (on a ton-kilometer basis) in fiscal 1988 also rose 4.8 percent, or 0.3 percentage points, as compared with the preceding financial year.
   The remarkable growth in the volume of railway cargo transport was brought about in parallel with increases in cargo transport by other modes of transport, as a result of the rising demand for construction-related materials triggered off by private sector equipment investment and investment in private housing which gained impetus in part because of additional public investment of 5 trillion made in accordance with emergency economic countermeasures implemented in fiscal 1987, and induced effects (Table 16).

 


(International Transport)

   A look at international travel trends surrounding Japan shows that the number of Japanese going abroad in 1988 (calendar year) was up 23.4 percent from the previous year (23.8 percent) owing to the appreciation of the yen, and surpassed the 8,000,000 level for the first time ever and reached 8,430,000, hitting an all-time hight for seven years in a row.
   The number of foreigners coming to Japan in 1988 stood at 2,360,000, up 9,3 percent from the previous year, hitting a new record high by exceeding the previous of 2,330, 000 set in 1985 (Fig. 19).
   A look at international cargo transport surrounding Japan (in terms of tonnage) shows that exports by sea in 1988 (calender year) were down 0.7 percent from the previous year, marking decreases for four straight years, but that the margin of decreases was small thanks to machinery and cement exports running at a relatively high level. Conversely, imports registered a high growth rate of 9.4 percent, increasing for two consecutive years, as a result of increases in imports of dry cargo such as iron ore and coal (Fig. 20). Exports and imports by air in fiscal 1988 increased 9.5 percent and 25.2 percent, respectively, although their growth rates slackened as compared with the preceding financial year (Fig. 21).

 


2 Reviw of Past Year After Opening of Seikan Tunnel and Seto-Ohashi Bridge


(Seikan Tunnel)

   The opening of the Seikan Tunnel dramatically increased the volume of railway passenger traffic between Honshu and Hokkaido. Similarly, the volume of railway cargo traffic increased smoothly. Particularly notable was the growth of JR container traffic (Table 17).

 


(Seto-Ohashi Bridge)

   The traffic volume of automobiles following the opening of the Seto-Ohashi Bridge was smaller than had been originally estimated, whereas JR passenger and JR cargo traffic volumes recorded substantial increases. The opening of the bridge across the Inland Sea seriously affected local ferry and passenger boat services (Table 18).

 


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