Policy Research Institute for Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism. Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism

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Research study on the cargo transportation with cross-sectional mode in case of a wide area disaster(Report No.131)

Summary

When the wide-area disaster occurs, such as Nankai Trough giant earthquake, it is extremely important not only to maintain transportation of relief supplies in emergency and recovery phase, but also to restore general logistics to normal for the social economic activities.

As simulating the situation of Nankai Trough giant earthquake, it is found the following issues would take long period: "Long-term East-West division by the disaster of Chubu District", "Cutoff of the traffic between Honshu and Shikoku by the disaster of the Honshu-Shikoku Bridge” “Cutoff of the cargo railways in the Chugoku district without detour routes". Including these issues, we inspected the impact on the logistics and found it is considered that the transport demands extremely decrease in many OD (Origin- Destination), and on the other hand, physical cutoff of the traffic networks and lack of resources generate cancellations of transportation, and large traffic jams happen in the detour routes.

On receiving this result, we made the following three scenarios and carried out the simulations and inspected the effects: “Taking measures to the roads with early restoration in Chuo Expressway ? Meishin Expressway - Chugoku Expressway”, “Taking measures to the railroads with early restoration in Gifu - Nagoya - Kasugai and temporarily to use the San-in line as cargo transportation”, “Raising regional procurement rate of auto parts nationwide”. As a result, it is considered that all of them are effective and the importance of prior measures are suggested.

For preparing against Nankai Trough giant earthquake it is necessary to examine the way of the logistics after disasters at a nation level. However the discussions and investigations with the wide variety of shipper companies or traffic-related business people is assumed to have difficulties. Therefore the country and local government will be required to discuss in cooperation with people in various quarters, and to lead to establish the direction of policies on both of hardware-software and examine the concrete measures.


Keywords

Nankai trough,Earthquake,Distribution,Simulation

Publication

July 2016

Report

report(Japanese)(PDF:3.38MB)
reference(Japanese)(PDF:3.71MB)