Chapter 5  Trend of Transport Business and Reconstruction Of Japanese National Railways (JNR)


5. 1 Performance of Transport Business



   In FY1978, JNR suffered a larger deficit than in FY1977, because the increase in operating expenses exceeded the Increase in its revenues resulting from raises of fares, rates and charges in July and October 1978 and January 1979.
   The operating profits of 14 major private railway companies in FY1978 leveled off. As a huge revenue shortfall was expected if the situation were left as it was, they raised their fares - 13 of the companies in January 1979 and the remaining one in March 1979. Medium- and small-sized private railway companies operating in the environs of major cities increased their operating revenues by 11.2% as a result of fare raises. They chalked up enough recurring profits to more than offset their recurring losses suffered in the preceding fiscal year.
   Railways operated by municipal governments remained in the red in the operating profits/losses accounts. But, the losses were smaller than in FY1977 as their operating revenues grew at a much larger rate than their operating expenses thanks to fare raises. Teito Rapid Transit Authority registered recurring profits for the second consecutive year since their operating revenues increased by 20.6% through a Increase of their fares in May, 1977, although their operating expenses rose by 25.1%.
   Bus lines, both those run by private companies and those operated by municipal governments, generally continued in the red. But, the operating revenues of the lines run by municipal governments increased by 6.5%, compared to the 1.6% rise in their operating expenses. Cars-for-hire and taxi operators registered slightly larger recurring profits than in the preceding fiscal year. Trunk-line trucking business turned into the black in the recurring profits/losses accounts with operating profits increasing and non-operating losses shrinking. Short-haul trucking business had larger black-ink figures in both the operating profits/losses and the recurring profits/losses accounts than in FY1977. The forwarding business remained in the red although their losses were smaller in the preceding year.
   Ocean shipping business improved as it chalked up larger operating profits and smaller recurring losses than in the preceding fiscal year although both operating revenues and expenses dropped 14%-1 5%. Operating revenues and expenses of coastal shipping almost leveled off, both showing an increase of somewhere between 4% and 5%.
   Long-distance ferry business showed very good performance as operating revenues increased and operating expenses decreased. Operating profits nearly tripled and the business was in the black in the recurring profits/losses accounts.
   Shipbuilding showed a deficit in the operating profits/losses accounts as operating revenues declined at a higher rate than operating expenses. The recurring profits/losses accounts, too, were in the red.
   Warehousing business leveled off, in general showing no substantial change from FY1977.
   Air transport business showed nearly the same amount of operating profits as in the preceding fiscal year since both operating revenues and expenses increased by more than 10%.


5. 2 Transport Rates and Subsidies.



   Various transport fares and charges were increased in FY1978. But, the increases were generally smaller than the preceding ones because of such contributing factors as stable commodity prices and personnel costs.
   It is necessary to provide various kinds of public financial assistance, as well as to control transport rates, to enable transportation services to meet effectively the needs of the national economy and the life of the people. Various subsidies have been provided for maintenance of local lines indispensable to local inhabitants, expansion and improvement of the Shinkansen Line (bullet train service) and city transport services, and securing of transportation means to meet an anticipated increase in transport demand arising from development of new large housing complexes.

5. 3 Current State of Transportation Labor


   The ratio of effective job offers to applications in all industries, which registered its lowest 0.53 (seasonally adjusted, so also with the following) in the October-December period of 1977, improved moderately to 0.65 in January-March period of 1979. The number of jobless workers increased from 1,100,000 in 1977 to 1,240,000 in 1978.
   The supply-and-demand situation for seafaring labor still remains rigorous. The effective job offers to applications ratio for seamen, which registered its lowest 0.19 in the January-March period of 1976, improved slightly to 0.32 in January-March period of 1979. But, it was still about half the ratio in all industries.


5. 4 Reconstruction of JNR


   JNR's business has been deteriorating year after year since it dropped into the red in FY1964.
   In view of the considerable change in the environment related to the JNR and the need for a flexible system of determining JNR fares, rates and charges, the Cabinet approved a "Basic Policy for Reconstruction of Japanese National Railways" on December 29,1977, establishing a basic course to be followed for JNR's reconstruction. The basic policy clarifies the roles and responsibilities of the users, the JNR itself and the government in reconstructing the national railways.
   The Transport Minister requested JNR to submit a concrete plan based on this policy. JNR responded by submitting a "Draft Basic Plan for Rehabilitation of Japanese National Railways" in July 1979. According to this draft scheme, JNR aims to achieve an equilibrium in its general net profits and losses in FY1985, excluding those profits and losses which are associated with new Shinkansen lines to be opened in future. To this end, the draft basic plan calls for every possible effort through the 1980s, that is, implementing various measures for streamlining JNR's business under a priority system and retrenchment of its work force, coupled with the government's administrative and financial assistance. The proposed measures include : trying to reduce the work force to 350,000 in FY1985, making appropriate and timely revisions of fares, rates and charges, and scaling down construction. The Ministry of Transport will make necessary changes concerning the concrete measures proposed in this draft basic plan and decide on concrete actions which the government should take for rehabilitation of JNR.(Fig. 6)


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