Part 2 Trends in Transport


Chapter 1 Outline of Transport in FYl989 and Recent Trends


1. General Economic Trends and Transport Activities


    (1) Trends in Passenger Transport
    1) Domestic Transport
    Domestic passenger transport in FY1989 totaled 77.3 billion persons and 1.267 trillion passenger-kilometers, up 5.6 percent and 6.4 percent respectively from the preceding fiscal year (Table 5).
    Features of passenger transport in FY1989 were that the JR's growth, which was high the previous fiscal year, held steady and that transport by privately-owned cars chalked up a dramatic increase while air transport registered impressively on both trunk and local routes. It is conceived that such favorable growth of passenger transport was supported by an increase in domestic demand, notably consumption and private plant and equipment investments, but the situation was apparently favorably affected by developments resulting from the introduction of the consumption tax.
    By mode of transportation, JR and private railways continued to perform steadily while motor vehicles continued to record impressive growth, notably passenger cars. Again, Long-distance highspeed buses, Late-night buses and chartered buses performed very well and so did airlines, but taxi and hired taxi transport showed a downward trend partly because of the shortage of drivers.
    2) International Passenger Transport
    Against a backdrop of an increase for seven straight years in the number of international travelers, the number of persons who left Japan in 1989 hit an all-time high of 9.66 million, reflecting a trend toward steady personal consumption while the number of people entering Japan the same year also registered a record high of 2.48 million (Fig. 23).
    (2) Trends in Freight Transport
    1) Domestic Freight Transport
    Reflecting the booming economy, domestic freight transport in FY1989 totaled 6, 509,800,000 tons and 513,440,000,000 tonnage-kilometers, up 5.8 percent and 6.3 percent respectively from the preceding fiscal year (Table 6). Features of domestic freight transport are that the volume of freight carried by all means of transportation, including private railways whose freight transport in the preceding fiscal year recorded negative growth, increased.
    In the period of economic expansion (FY1987), freight transport increased in FY1989, as it did in FY1988, at a pace exceeding GNP growth. This period of economic expansion, unlike the previous period of economic expansion (FY1983 and FY1984) which was sparked by external demand centering around export-related processing and assembly-type industries, was led by domestic deranged as in the preceding period of economic expansion (FY1978 and FY1979). Because of this, the ripple effects on industries and economies as a whole were high and consumption increased. On the other hand, equipment investment and housing construction were revitalized, hence heavy construction-related freights increased relatively, with the result that domestic freight transport increased notably (Fig. 24).
    By mode of transportation, JR freight slackened compared with FY1988 when it registered substantial growth, but it generally maintained a smooth increase centered on containers (Fig. 25), while freight transport by motor vehicles, notably those for commercial purpose, coastal shipping and domestic airlines maintained steady increases.
    2) International Transport
    World economies did not achieve growth as solid in 1989 as in the previous year, but they ran at high levels. In these circumstances, Japan's suborn trade, reflecting the domestic demand-led economic boom, continued to increase in imports and decrease in exports.
    (3) Recent Transport Trends (to August 1990)
    Both passenger transport and freight transport continued to move firmly owing to continuously booming economy and the expansion of personal consumption. Demand for passenger transport rose thanks to the International Garden and Greenery Exposition which was held in Osaka from April to September.
    (4) Transport Movements After the Opening of the Seikan Tunnel and Seto Ohashi Bridge
    A look at the flow of people and goods between Honshu and Hokkaido following the opening of the Seikan Tunnel, and also between Shikoku and Honshu after the opening of the Seto Ohashi Bridge, shows that, in general terms, the volume of passenger and freight transport increased smoothly. The flow of passengers, however, decreased compared with the previous year according to mode of transportation, affected by reactions, including booms before and after the opening of these bridges.


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