Conclusion


   The Japanese economy has weathered the first and second oil crises and is consolidating its transition to a moderate growth era. Against the backdrop of this economic trend, transport activities have become increasingly vigorous in both the passenger and the cargo fields. However, the domestic and international circumstances surrounding transportation have been changing as mentioned below and there is a possibility that the economic current may be greatly altered by uncertain factors, as witnessed at the time of the oil crises.
   Firstly, the Japanese economy and society have become more and more complicated due to changes in the industrial structure, the regional structure, the composition of the population and consiousness of the people.
   Secondly, with regard to land space, environment, energy, etc., the restrictive factors are increasing.
   Thirdly, the government is in a tight financial situation.
   Fourthly, the international economic and political situations have become unstable.
   In view of these changes, it is necessary to pay due regard to the following points in managing transportation in the 1980s.
   Concerning domestic transportation , first of all, transport demand is not expected to grow as much as it did in the high-growth era because of such factors as a change in the structure of the Japanese economy and the slowdown of the growth pace of GNP.
   Secondly, users of the means of transportation will become more selective. As for passenger transport, the trend is towards higher speed because the people's sense of value of time will rise. Users will choose more carefully between means of transportation by weighing the price and service as a whole against the purpose of a trip.
   In every industry, firms have been making efforts to trim corporate fat. They are now demanding more strongly the reduction of physical distribution costs and a streamlining of physical distribution. In view of this, competition among transportation means and transportation firms alike is expected to intensify much in the firld of cargo transportation, too.
   Thirdly, the effective utilization of traffic space, the promotion of energy-saving measures and of environmental and safety measures will become increasingly important. Hence, there is a need for a transportation policy which emphasises the establishment of a traffic system of high transport efficiency and which pays due consideration to the conservation of energy, the preservation of the environment, the promotion of traffic safety, etc.
   Fourthly, it is necessary to expand and improve trunk routes and regional traffic systems so as to promote the balanced development of the nation's land and to create affluent regional communities. In this case, it is necessary to take greater care than ever before for priority-oriented and effective investment in expanding and improving the traffic system and also for the division of functions among transportation modes, and between private and public transportation systems in order to utilize effectively the characteristics of each in their respective fields of land, sea and air transportation.
   With regard to international transportation, it is necessary to strengthen ocean shipping 's competitiveness and improve international trade ports for the purpose of enhancing national security and, at the same time, it is necessary to promote international cooperation positively in order to expand interchanges with foreign countries. The improvement and expansion of airports is also necessary.
   In the light of past achievements and the outlook for the future, what is needed at present is to deal properly with the rehabilitation of Japanese National Railways and other problems currently facing transport administration and to develop a comprehensive and suitable transportation policy for a new era, based on a long- range perspective.


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